Solar panel savings calculator

    Most domestic systems are 4โ€“6 kWp (10โ€“15 panels).


    Including a cost enables payback period calculation.

    Estimated annual saving

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    Annual generation

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    Self-consumed

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    Exported to grid

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    COโ‚‚ offset

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    Import saving

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    Export income

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    Assumes 30% self-consumption (65% with battery), south-facing optimal orientation unless adjusted above, and rates shown. Shading is not modelled โ€” results may be optimistic if your roof is partially shaded.

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    How solar savings are calculated

    This calculator estimates how much electricity a solar panel system would generate at your location, based on long-term irradiance data, then works out how much of that generation offsets your own electricity use versus getting exported to the grid.

    Where the generation figures come from

    Annual generation is estimated as your system size (kWp) multiplied by a location-specific "kWh per kWp per year" figure sourced from PVGIS, the European Commission Joint Research Centre's solar resource database, then adjusted for roof orientation if you've refined the estimate. A well-positioned system in southern England typically generates around 850โ€“1,050 kWh per kilowatt-peak installed; sunnier locations generate more.

    Self-consumption and battery storage

    Self-consumption โ€” the share of generated electricity you use directly rather than exporting to the grid โ€” is assumed at 30% without a battery and 65% with one, based on typical UK domestic usage patterns. These are fixed assumptions, not calculated from your own usage, since actual self-consumption depends heavily on when you're home and what you run during daylight hours. Adding a battery lets you use more of what you generate rather than exporting it at a lower rate, which is why it increases the assumed self-consumption share.

    Payback period

    Payback period is only shown once you enter an installation cost โ€” it's simply that cost divided by the estimated annual saving. It's a simple estimate: it doesn't account for electricity price inflation, panel degradation over time, or maintenance costs, all of which would shift the real-world figure.

    Limitations

    Shading from trees, chimneys, or neighbouring buildings can significantly reduce output and isn't modelled here โ€” if shading is a factor, treat the result as an upper estimate. Electricity rates shown are regional averages; your actual saving will depend on your supplier's import and export tariff. This tool gives a planning estimate, not a substitute for a site survey and quote from an installer.

    Generation figures are derived from irradiance data published by PVGIS (Photovoltaic Geographical Information System), the European Commission Joint Research Centre's solar resource database.